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Climate change is exacerbating flood risks. The overall objective of this project seeks to support local governments in urban communities in the Philippines and Indonesia to incorporate climate change into flood risk assessments and mobilise knowledge to realise resilient and sustainable development.

As a result of better understanding the influence of climate change on flood risk, local governments and communities can make more informed decisions on their development pathways. Increased access to flood risk assessments that forecast future changes will serve to not only reduce risk, but also prevent the creation of new risk – a growing concern.

This knowledge holds potential to save lives and prevent economic losses. The project will also seek to synthesise appropriate and simplified methods that can be used to create best practice on integrating climate change into flood models.

This research aims to understand these stressors and their future impact on flood risks, contributing to the Sendai Framework's goal to improve access to disaster risk information by 2030.

A key challenge in disaster risk reduction is defining disaster risk empirically. Without quality risk assessments, local governments lack crucial data for decision-making. This project will develop methods to incorporate climate change into flood modelling and risk estimation. It will also explore how risk information is legitimised in local planning to increase the use of risk assessments.

The research will partner closely with local governments to ensure policy action. An action research component will help understand how local knowledge is legitimised to enhance risk reduction strategy adoption.Ìý

Funded by the

Contributors: Dr Aaron Opdyke, Ms Emily Nabong, Mr Isaac Besarra, Ms Zoe Latham, and Ms Grace Barrett-Lennard.Ìý

Journal articles

Besarra, I.,ÌýOpdyke, A., Mendoza, J.E., Delmendo, P.A., Santiago, J., Evangelista, D.J., Lagmay, A.M.F.A., 2025, ,ÌýJournal of Environmental Management,Ìývol. 380, pp. 124966.

Nabong, E., & Opdyke, A., 2024, ,ÌýEnvironmental Research Communications, vol.Ìý6, pp. 091501.

Besarra, I., Opdyke, A., Aquino, D. H., Santiago, J., Mendoza, J. E., & Lagmay, A. M. F. A., 2024, ,ÌýJournal of Flood Risk Management.

Latham, Z., Barrett-Lennard, G., & Opdyke, A., 2024, ,ÌýSustainable Cities and Society, vol.Ìý112, pp. 105632-.

Alfian, D., Meilianda, E., Ahmad, A., Syukri, M., Opdyke, A., Abdullah, N., Sungkar, M., Ziana, Z., Apriandy, F., Kasuri, A. R., Putri, A., Refika, C. D., Putritami, K., Darma, Y., Mubarak, M., Asyifa, C. N., Fikri, R., Salmannur, A., Iqbal, K., … Meilianda, E., 2024,Ìý ÌýE3S Web of Conferences:ÌýAceh International Symposium on Civil Engineering, vol.Ìý476, pp. 1056-.

Alfian, D., Meilianda, E., Achmad, A., Syukri, M., Ashfa, H., Opdyke, A., Oktari, R. S., Rosemary, R., Pertiwi, P., Bisri, M., Rahman, A., Mas, E., & Opdyke, A., 2023, ÌýE3S Web of Conferences:ÌýAceh International Workshop and Expo on Sustainable Tsunami Disaster Recovery, vol.Ìý447, pp. 1007-.

News

Evangelista, D, 2024,Ìý,ÌýUniversity of the Philippines Resilience Institute, 26 April.

TDMRC, 2024,Ìý,ÌýTsunami and Disaster Mitigation Research Centre,Ìý19 April.

Evangelista, D, 2024, ÌýUniversity of the Philippines Resilience Institute, 26 February.

Faculty of Engineering, 2023, 'Three ways our researchers are aiding disaster risk reduction', TheÌýUniversity of Sydney,Ìý13 October.

Sydney Environment Institute, 2023, 'Examining climate change resilience through serious games',ÌýTheÌýUniversity of Sydney,Ìý23 March.

Media

Ìý- Game materials for the cooperative tabletop game that immerses players in the complexities of managing flood risk under climate change. Players collaborate to implement adaptation strategies to protect community assets from flood impacts.

Resilience Live Ep.5:Ìý